Structured Probability Assessment for Employment Claims
Every employment claim turns on a chain of legal elements — each of which the tribunal assesses independently before reaching an overall conclusion. This tool lets you assign a probability to each element based on your professional assessment of the facts, and then see how those probabilities combine mathematically. It does not replace legal judgment; it structures it. The inputs require an informed practitioner who understands the legal tests. The tool balances those inputs and shows how strength (or weakness) in one element ripples through to the overall outcome.
⚠️ Expert Input Required: The probabilities you set must reflect informed legal assessment of the specific facts. This tool structures that assessment mathematically — it does not generate predictions from thin air. It is not legal advice.
Choose a Claim Type
Discrimination Arising from Disability (s.15 EqA)
1. How strong is each element? Requires legal assessment
Adjust each slider to reflect your assessment of the facts. Elements that depend on other elements are shown conditionally.
2. Combined assessment
Probability of Claim Succeeding
0.0%
Based on the element probabilities you set above
3. Element breakdown
Current probability of each element given your inputs:
Calculation detail
How the overall probability is derived from the individual element probabilities: